Our summary
Jev's probabilities estimate how likely the possible answers are. For choices and ratings, confidence summarizes how clearly one answer stands out. This guide separates those estimates from a different question: should the program act? None of the numbers proves that a particular judgment is correct.
Give uncertain or unsupported items a route to review. Test possible cutoffs on examples not used to tune them. Compare how much work bypasses people, how often that automatic work is wrong, whether reviewers can handle the remainder, and the total cost and delay.
No cutoff is safe for every task. Suggesting a folder and changing an account have different consequences, while new kinds of input can weaken old settings. Watch cases near the boundary and retest when the model, categories, information, costs, or action rules change.
Key takeaways
- Treat estimates as evidence for an action rule, not permission to act.
- Test cutoffs on examples that were not used to choose them.
- Track automatic mistakes, review workload, cost, and delay together.